Seasonal Climate: Forecasting and Managing Risk

Preface.- List of Contributors.- List of Participants.- Part 1. Seasonal Climate Forecasts in Context.- Chapter 1. Introduction; M. Harrison et al..- Chapter 2. Seasonal Forecasts in Decision Making; M. Harrison et al.- Part 2. The Production of Seasonal Climate Forecasts.- Chapter 3. Overview of Seasonal Forecasting; D.L. Anderson.- Chapter 4. Ocean-Atmosphere Basis for Seasonal Climate Forecasting; B. Hoskins, P. Schopf.- Chapter 5. Getting the Coupled Model Ready at the Starting Blocks; J. Tribbia, A. Troccoli.- Chapter 6. Modelling the Atmospheric, Oceanic and Coupled System; B. Hoskins et al.- Chapter 7. Statistical Modelling; S.J. Mason, O. Baddour.- Part 3. Calibration and Assessment of Seasonal Climate Forecasts.- Chapter 8. From Dynamical Model Predictions to Seasonal Climate Forecasts; S.J. Mason.- Chapter 9. An Introduction to Probability Forecasting; D.B. Stephenson.- Chapter 10. How do we know whether Seasonal Climate Forecasts are any good? S.J. Mason, D.B. .Stephenson.- Part 4. Developing Successful Application Strategies.- Chapter 11. Communicating Seasonal Forecasts; M. Harrison, J.B. Williams.- Chapter 12. Building National and Specialised Climate Services; J. Bellow et al.- Chapter 13. Water, Health and Early Warnings; Y. Abawi et al.- Part 5. The Future of Seasonal Climate Forecasting.- Chapter 14. A Way Forward for Seasonal Climate Services; M. Harrison et al.- Acronyms.- Glossary of Terms.- References.- Suggested further Reading.- Index.-