Strategic Decisions and Weak Signals – Anticipation for Decision–Making

<p>Introduction ix</p>
<p>Chapter 1 The Subject Within the Field of Management Science: Concepts and Issues 1</p>
<p>1.1 Strategic management and strategic decision–making 3</p>
<p>1.2 Strategic decision–making and anticipation 6</p>
<p>1.3 Anticipation, anticipative information and weak signals 16</p>
<p>1.4 Weak signals and anticipative strategic scanning 25</p>
<p>1.5 Organizational issues in anticipative strategic scanning, which could weaken strategic decision–making 31</p>
<p>1.6 Conclusion: concepts discussed, issues noted and resulting requirements 45</p>
<p>Chapter 2 State of the Art: Systems Suggested by Previous Authors 47</p>
<p>2.1 Entry point: collective interpretation of a set of homogeneous weak signals to make sense 48</p>
<p>2.2 Directly detecting a weak signal in a full text 58</p>
<p>2.3 Automatically selecting a "useful" information fragment (a "brief", for our purposes) 59</p>
<p>2.4 Improving weak–signal detection by improving the target 68</p>
<p>2.5 Conclusion 71</p>
<p>Chapter 3 Proposed Systems: Results of Information System Prototyping Research Conducted at the CNRS–CERAG Lab (France) 73</p>
<p>3.1 TARGETBUILDER, and aid to targeting scanning priorities 74</p>
<p>3.2 APROXIMA, automated extraction of fragments (briefs), which may hold weak signals 82</p>
<p>3.3 ALHENA, an aid to finding connections between weak signals 92</p>
<p>3.4 Conclusion 105</p>
<p>Conclusion 107</p>
<p>Glossary 111</p>
<p>Bibliography 121</p>
<p>Index 129</p>