Bruno de Finetti,
Alberto Mura
Philosophical Lectures on Probability
collected, edited, and annotated by Alberto Mura
Paperback Engels 2010 9789048178056Levertijd ongeveer 9 werkdagen
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Samenvatting
Bruno de Finetti (1906–1985) is the founder of the subjective interpretation of probability, together with the British philosopher Frank Plumpton Ramsey. His related notion of “exchangeability” revolutionized the statistical methodology. This book (based on a course held in 1979) explains in a language accessible also to non-mathematicians the fundamental tenets and implications of subjectivism, according to which the probability of any well specified fact F refers to the degree of belief actually held by someone, on the ground of her whole knowledge, on the truth of the assertion that F obtains.
Specificaties
ISBN13:9789048178056
Taal:Engels
Bindwijze:paperback
Aantal pagina's:216
Uitgever:Springer Netherlands
Serie:Synthese Library
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Inhoudsopgave
Introductory Lecture.- Decisions and Proper Scoring Rules.- Geometric Representation of Brier’s Rule.- Bayes’ Theorem.- Physical Probability and Complexity.- Stochastic Independence and Random Sequences.- Superstition and Frequentism.- Exchangeability.- Distributions.- The Concept of Mean.- Induction and Sample Randomization.- Complete Additivity and Zero Probabilities.- The Definitions of Probability.- The Gambler’s Fallacy.- “Facts” and “Events”.- “Facts” and “Events”: An Example.- Prevision, Random Quantities, and Trievents.- Désir André’s Argument.- Characteristic Functions.
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