Coping with Uncertainty

Uncertainty and Decisions: Facets of Robust Decisions.- Stress Testing via Contamination.- Structured Modeling for Coping with Uncertainty in Complex Problems.- Modeling Stochastic Uncertainty: Using Monte Carlo Simulation to Treat Physical Uncertainties in Structural Reliability.- Explicit Methods for the Computation of Strucutral Reliabilities in Stochastic Plastic Analysis.- Statistical Analysis of Catastrophie Events.- Scene Interpretation Using Bayesian Network Fragments.- Non-probabilistic Uncertainty: General Equilibrium Models with Discrete Choices in a Spatial Continuum.- Sequential Downscaling Methods for Estimation from Aggregate Data.- Optimal Control for a Class of Uncertain Systems.- Uncertainties in Medical Processes Control.- Applications of Stochastic Optimization: Impacts of Uncertainty and Increasing Returns on Sustainable Energy Development and Climate Change. A Stochastic Optimization Appraoch.- Stochasticity in Electric Energy Systems Planning.- Stochastic Programming Based PERT Modeling.- Towards Implementable Nonlinear Stochastic Programming.- Policy Issues Under Uncertainty: Endogenous Risks and Learning.- Pricing Related Projects.- Precaution. The Willingness to Accept Costs to Avert Uncertain Danger