How to Price and Trade Options + Website – Identify, Analyze, and Execute the Best Trade Probabilities
Identify, Analyze, and Execute the Best Trade Probabilities, + Website
Paperback Engels 2015 9781118871140Samenvatting
Select and execute the best trades and reduce risk
Rather than teaching options from a financial perspective, How to Price and Trade Options: Identify, Analyze, and Execute the Best Trade Probabilities goes back to the Nobel Prize–winning Black–Scholes model. Written by well–known options expert Al Sherbin, it looks at the basis for probability theory in option trading and explains how to put the odds in your favor when trading options. Inside, you′ll discover how anyone can "operate their own casino" if they know how through proper option strategies. Plus, a supplemental website includes videos that walk you through various probability scenarios, pre–formatted spreadsheets, and code.
All investors should have a portion of their portfolio set aside for option trades. Not only do options provide great opportunities for leveraged plays, they can also help you earn larger profits with a smaller amount of cash outlay. With the help of this book, traders, active investors, and self–directed investors of all stripes will learn how simple it can be to deploy probability–based trading strategies.
Teaches both defined and undefined risk strategies
Utilizes simple cost basis reduction strategies to enhance investment returns
Draws on unique research studies
Discusses volatility to include both historical (realized) and implied volatility: the interplay between the two is a key piece of information overlooked by option traders
If you′re a trader of any level and want to make the best trades possible, this book has you covered.
Specificaties
Lezersrecensies
Inhoudsopgave
<p>CHAPTER 1 Why Trade Options? 1</p>
<p>Strategic without Being Directional 2</p>
<p>A Word about Leverage 2</p>
<p>Options Are a Decaying Asset 5</p>
<p>Insurer or Insured? 6</p>
<p>Probability of Making Money 6</p>
<p>Market Efficiency 7</p>
<p>Tired, Worn ]Out Metaphors 9</p>
<p>CHAPTER 2 What to Look for in a Broker 11</p>
<p>Brokerages versus Banks 11</p>
<p>Depth of a Broker s Pockets 12</p>
<p>Trading Risk Management 13</p>
<p>Learning from Recent Events 14</p>
<p>Account Types 14</p>
<p>Commissions 16</p>
<p>Interest Rates 18</p>
<p>Stock Borrow and Loan 19</p>
<p>Trading Platforms 22</p>
<p>Conclusion 24</p>
<p>CHAPTER 3 Building the Foundation 25</p>
<p>Option Pricing Models 26</p>
<p>Option Pricing Model Inputs 27</p>
<p>Historical Data as Input into the Implied Volatility of an Underlying 29</p>
<p>Implied Volatility as a Predictor of Stock Movement and Probabilities 30</p>
<p>The Distribution Curve 31</p>
<p>Breakout Stocks 45</p>
<p>Actual versus Historical Distribution Curves 50</p>
<p>CHAPTER 4 Trade Probabilities: What to Look For 55</p>
<p>The Results 59</p>
<p>How to Calculate Option Probabilities 63</p>
<p>CHAPTER 5 Choosing Your Trades 67</p>
<p>Choosing Your Underlying 67</p>
<p>Making an Assumption 78</p>
<p>CHAPTER 6 Choosing a Strategy 83</p>
<p>Defined Risk Trades 85</p>
<p>Credit Spreads 85</p>
<p>Debit Spreads 88</p>
<p>Butterfly 89</p>
<p>Iron Condor 91</p>
<p>Calendar Spreads 92</p>
<p>Undefined Risk Trades 96</p>
<p>The Straddle 97</p>
<p>The Strangle 97</p>
<p>Short Naked Puts 98</p>
<p>Ratio Spreads and Back Spreads 100</p>
<p>What Time to Expiration Should My Trades Have? 103</p>
<p>Trading Earnings Announcements 105</p>
<p>CHAPTER 7 Exiting Trades 123</p>
<p>The Variables 123</p>
<p>The Kelly Criterion 125</p>
<p>Morning Routine 130</p>
<p>To Log Your Trades or Not to Log Your Trades 135</p>
<p>CHAPTER 8 Executing Your Trades 141</p>
<p>Order Types 142</p>
<p>CHAPTER 9 Portfolio Management 153</p>
<p>Two Types of Risk 154</p>
<p>The Goal: Diversification Minimizing Unique Risk 155</p>
<p>The Methods: Correlation and Number of Positions 156</p>
<p>Identifying and Mitigating Systematic Risk 163</p>
<p>Trade Sizing 180</p>
<p>Early Exercise 183</p>
<p>Conclusion 189</p>
<p>About the Website 191</p>
<p>About the Author 193</p>
<p>Index 195</p>
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